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Surfersvillage Global Surf News, 05 October 2007 : - - Super Typhoon Krosa remains a large and powerful storm as it continues to approach the island of Taiwan early Friday morning EDT, with maximum sustained winds of 150 mph and gusts to 185 mph. Krosa was centered near 21.0 north and 125.0 east, about 400 miles southwest of Naha, Okinawa, and was moving to the north-northwest at 7 mph. Krosa is expected to maintain its current strength over the next 12-24 hours then weaken slightly as it continues to interact with Taiwan.

The forecast track keeps the storm moving to the northwest over the next day or so, before turning northward near the coast of China. The storm could make a brief landfall in northeastern Taiwan sometime late Saturday evening or Saturday night. In addition to the powerful winds, Krosa will be capable of causing significant flooding in Taiwan and eastern China due to its slow forward movement.

Experts are also watching another area for possible development in the coming days. This system is located near 25 north and 149 east, or about 435 miles east of Iwo To. It is possible this hybrid system may become better organized in the next couple of days.

Gulf and Western Atlantic Lows

Low pressure in the Gulf of Mexico was near 28 north and 93 west Friday morning. This underachieving low pressure area is moving to the northwest and has slowed its progress to 10 mph or less. This hybrid system will probably move onto the Texas coast south of Galveston but north of Corpus Christi sometime Friday afternoon or evening. Convection with this low remains minimal, with most of the convection currently east of the center of circulation. As the day progresses Friday, more convection could develop with this system over the land.

The system continues to fight with dry air entraining about the center of circulation. Regardless of the classification of the system, gusty winds could accompany the low around its immediate circulation. The southeasterly flow on the back side of the system will continue to steer Gulf of Mexico moisture into southern Louisiana and the central Gulf coast area through Friday, in the form of locally heavy, gusty showers and thunderstorms.

A second area of concern across the Atlantic Basin is a broad area of clouds, showers and thunderstorms extending from Hispaniola into the Virgin Islands. A broad area of low pressure has developed in this area. However, drier air from the north has begun to entrain into this feature and will likely cause any development to be slow to occur. Computer guidance suggests this low will drift southwest over the weekend and into the northern Caribbean Sea by early next week.

Experts are also tracking a tropical wave along 48 west. This wave has a surface low near 10 north. This system looks impressive on satellite images but this feature will start to encounter strong upper-level winds, which will inhibit any development.

Weather Radar

Satellite Imagery

Satellite Animations